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Statistically speaking, just how insanely tough is admission for unhooked applicants?

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For those who are not sports recruits, legacies, URM, first-generation, and who don't live in Hawaii (no offense), what are the actual chances for an U.S. unhooked applicant in the regular round - in which only 1000-1100 students are accepted? And if anyone wants to venture further, what are the chances for an unhooked applicant who is not valedictorian/36/2400/Intel winner etc? I've always wanted to ask this :)

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